Service Plays Monday 3/15/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty had no play Sunday and likes the Nuggets tonight.

The deficit is 75 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

Straight Up: 660-278 (.704)
ATS: 506-464 (.522)
ATS Vary Units: 1195-1101 (.520)
Over/Under: 480-498 (.491)
Over/Under Vary Units: 639-660 (.492)

PHILADELPHIA 106, New York 101
BOSTON 99, Detroit 87
Denver 107, HOUSTON 104
UTAH 109, Washington 92
L.A. Lakers 113, GOLDEN STATE 106
New Orleans vs. L.A. CLIPPERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[mp5070]

John Morrison

3/15 Washington [A]
Utah

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

Season: 348-231 (.601)

NEW JERSEY 3, Boston 2
COLUMBUS 3, Edmonton 2
CALGARY 3, Detroit 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Pistons

Warriors

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLERS DATA
Calgary - 1.5 +269

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

411 - 299 run 58 %
Bonus Play Golden State + 7 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

Denver (45-21, 31-30-5 ATS) at Houston (33-31, 29-35 ATS)

The Nuggets take aim at their seventh straight win as they make a stop inside the Toyota Center for a matchup with the Rockets.

Denver is looking to wrap up a four-game road trip with a spotless record and it enters this one on a six-game winning streak (4-1-1 ATS) after going to Memphis and blowing out the Grizzlies 125-108 on Saturday, easily cashing as 1½-point favorites. They broke the game open by outscoring the Grizzlies 40-23 in the fourth quarter as J.R. Smith led the way with 30 points. Denver has averaged 115.4 points a game in its last five contests and shot 51.6 percent from the field.

Houston has won two straight (1-1 ATS), including Saturday’s 116-108 home win over the Nets, coming up just short as a 9½-point favorite. Luis Scola had the best game of his career, shooting 20-for-25 from the field for 44 points and 12 rebounds. The Rockets are looking for a third straight win, something they haven’t done since Dec. 22.

The Nuggets have won both matchups with Houston this season (2-0 ATS), including a 97-92 victory inside the Toyota Center back on Jan. 27, cashing as a 2½-point pup and making them 5-2 ATS in the last seven head-to-head matchups overall.

Denver is on ATS slides of 1-5 on Mondays, 1-10 as a road chalk of less than five points and 3-11-4 after a spread-cover, but it is on positive ATS runs of 6-2-3 on the road, 3-0-1 overall and 39-19-3 against teams with a winning record. The Rockets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a home ‘dog and 6-2 ATS in their last eight Monday games, but they are on ATS skids of 9-22 overall, 5-11 against the Western Conference, 3-14 at home and 3-13 after a straight-up win.

For the Nuggets, the under is 4-1 in the last five overall and 7-3 in their last 10 against Southwest Division teams, but otherwise they’re on “over” runs of 7-2 as a favorite, 15-7 against winning teams and 4-1 as a chalk of less than five points. Houston has topped the total in 10 of 12 after a straight-up win, but it is on “under” streaks of 6-2 on Mondays, 4-1 as a home ‘dog, 7-3 after a non-cover and 5-0 at home against teams with a winning road mark.

In this series, the “over” has cashed in four of the last six overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER


New Orleans (32-35, 30-36-1 ATS) at L.A. Clippers (25-42, 29-37-1 ATS)

The Clippers will try to snap a seven-game losing streak when they welcome the equally struggling Hornets into the Staples Center.

New Orleans got smoked in Phoenix last night, losing 120-106 and failing to cash as 10-point underdogs. The Hornets have now dropped three in a row and seven of their last eight (0-7-1 ATS), and they haven’t won a road game since Feb. 6 in Charlotte, a nosedive spanning seven games (2-4-1 ATS).

Los Angeles ended a winless five-game road trip (1-4 ATS) with Saturday’s 118-88 loss in San Antonio as an 11½-point underdog. The Clippers, who are 1-6 ATS during their seven-game slide, have failed to score in triple digits in six straight games, tallying 88 or fewer four times. During their just-completed road trip, they got outscored by an average of 18.6 ppg (110.4-91) and allowed those five opponents to shoot a combined 50.5 percent from the field.

The Hornets are on an astounding 12-0 SU and ATS run against the Clippers, including three victories this season. In November, New Orleans went to Los Angeles and scored a 112-84 win as a two-point chalk, and followed it up with home wins in November (110-102 as a two-point ‘dog) and January (108-94 as a 7½-point chalk). The Hornets have won and covered six straight on the Clippers’ home floor, and they’re 17-4 ATS in the last 21 clashes overall.

New Orleans has struggled at the betting window lately, currently on ATS skids of 1-9-1 against Western conference teams, 2-5 on Mondays and 6-15 against teams with a losing record. Meanwhile, the Clippers have cashed in 12 of 18 at home and 11 of 17 against teams with losing records, but in addition to their current 1-6 ATS drought, they are on pointspread skids of 7-20-1 on Monday, 16-44 against the Western Conference and 16-38 against Southwest Division teams.

The Hornets are on several “over” streaks, including 9-3 on the road, 4-1 on Mondays, 5-0 on the second night of a back-to-back and 5-0 against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles has stayed below the posted total in 35 of 52 Monday contests, but it is on “over” runs of 3-0-1 overall, 6-1 against losing teams and 15-7 against Western Conference teams.

In this series, the “over” has been the play in each of the last five meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ORLEANS and OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PICK 'N' ROLL

Today's best NBA bets

Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors (+7.5, 223)

Lacking any type of inside game, the Warriors have decided to live and die by the 3-point shot. According to the Oakland Tribune, Golden State made 10 or more treys five times in the first 50 games but has done so 12 times in the past 15 games.

"There is usually four guys that can comfortably shoot 3s on the floor," Stephen Curry told reporters following Saturday's win over the Raptors. "That makes it hard for a defense to guard all of them, especially when the same guys can put it on the floor and get to the basket. It's tough to defend, and we are knocking them down."

The dedication to long bombing has been a profitable strategy for the Warriors. The club is 6-2 against the spread over its last eight games despite winning just two of those games outright.

Now the bad news: the Lakers possess the type of post play that can really expose G-State’s shortcomings. Los Angeles might not cover the spread on the Warriors’ home floor but the Purple and Gold will contest those shots from beyond the arc.

Pick: Under


New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5, 210.5)

Good luck finding any notable game facts from these two teams’ beat reporters. Philly and New York hoop fans are all looking forward to the draft and free agency because there’s nothing worth mentioning.

In the Big Apple Tracy McGrady is playing like he belongs in a retirement community pick-up league while Philly fans are more interested in Allen Iverson’s off-the-court problems than their own team’s on-court issues.

But if you’re actually paying attention, both sides are still staying competitive and catch opponents napping every so often. The Knicks ended Dallas’ long win streak and the Sixers nearly bested the Cavs if not for a few late mistakes.

Expect for a lot of quick shots and an up-tempo pace from both sides. These players are facing uncertain futures with their clubs and are looking to impress to stay on another season.

New Knick forward Bill Walker is a perfect example. He notched 23 points in just 25 minutes against Dallas.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL NBA

Denver at Houston

The Nuggets look to take advantage of a Houston team that is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 home games. Denver is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 15
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: New York at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: New York 107.939; Philadelphia 117.686
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 9 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Detroit at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 113.149; Boston 119.079
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 9 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+9 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Denver at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 124.495; Houston 119.687
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 3; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3); Over

Game 507-508: Washington at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 112.013; Utah 125.800
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 14; 195
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: New Orleans at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.593; LA Clippers 110.027
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 511-512: LA Lakers at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 123.049; Golden State 116.289
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 220
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 222
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+7 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL NHL

Detroit at Calgary

The Flames look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 1-4 in the last 5 meetings between the two teams. Calgary is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Flames favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 15
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Edmonton at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.173; Columbus 11.792
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 53-54: Boston at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.772; New Jersey 11.029
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+145); Under

Game 55-56: Detroit at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.156; Calgary 13.268
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-110); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Play
det/bos under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Monday's best NHL bets

Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils (-165, 5)

The Boston Bruins are going to have to find someone else to step up in place of the injured Marc Savard. The All-Star center led the B’s in scoring in each of the past three seasons but is expected to miss the rest of the season because of a head injury.

Canadian Olympic gold medalist Patrice Bergeron is playmaker most likely to see more ice time on the power play with Savard out. Bergeron tallied five points in his first two games without Savard but was held off the score sheet Saturday against the Canadiens.

“We didn’t start right and ultimately it cost us the game pretty much. The first period wasn’t the way we wanted to start,” Bergeron told the Boston Herald following the 3-2 loss to Montreal.

While Boston offense is shorthanded, the Devils’ attack is rounding into form thanks the improved play from recently acquired Ilya Kovalchuk. The sniper has found the back of the net in four of his six games since returning from the Olympic break.

Pick: New Jersey

Edmonton Oilers at Columbus Blue Jackets (N/A)

Even the most dedicated hockey fan might have trouble telling you who the No. 1 goalie is in the City of Champions. The Oilers originally planned on having that position filled after the signing of Nikolai Khabibulin.

But a rash of injuries has left Edmonton coach Pat Quinn with a long list of jobbers, including Jeff Deslauriers and Devan Dubnyk.

Of course neither no-name netminder is getting much help from his mates. Edmonton has been shorthanded 24 times in their last three games.

"Once again, we took too many penalties," Oilers defenseman Tom Gilbert told the Edmonton Journal following Saturday’s 6-4 setback to the Leafs. “It's not easy killing seven, eight penalties a game, especially five-on-threes.”

It shouldn’t come as a shock the Oilers are playing with undisciplined rage lately. They’ve been plagued by an injury and flu bug for much of the season, and Quinn probably stopped paying attention to the action on the ice about two months ago.

Even worse, when the Oilers actually do string together a few wins, like they did last week, their home fans start to complain about how the victories will affect the team’s position in the draft.

Not to worry, Edmonton fans. Your team has gone back into loser cruise control.

Pick: Columbus

 

[ugk]

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
*4* Detroit/Boston UNDER 196 (NCAAB)
Range: 198 to 194
*3* N.Y. Knicks +3.5 over Philadelphia (NBA)
Range: +5 to +1.5

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow

NBA

3 units 76ers -3.5
3 units Rockets +2.5
3 units Clippers -2.5

 

[zigomanisinsider]

Doc's NHL

1 unit Calgary on the Puckline (big dog)

 

[ugk]

JACK BURNET
Analyst: Jack Burnet
Highest Rated NBA Total of the Year

50,000 Dime OVER 216.5 Nuggets/Rockets

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

New York +1.30 over PHILADELPHIA

The question is which Knicks team are we going to see here. Is it going to be the one that just beat the Hawks and the Mav’s, the latter in Dallas by 32 points or will we see the Knick squad that lost by 20 at home to the Nets, among other sickening losses? One thing for sure is that the Knicks are feeling pretty confident after some excellent performances while the 76ers seem to be playing out the string. Mike D’Antoni expects 100% every game and there’s no denying the fact that the Knicks are on the verge of something good. The 76ers have dropped nine of its last 10 including four straight at home. They actually have more wins on the road this season than they do at home and for a team that has just 23 wins, that’s rather remarkable. They’re not comfortable at home and who can blame them, as the fans in Philly are among the harshest in the world. So, there should be a strong Knick contingent in the house and the Knicks are playing harder and about 10 times better than the host. Play: New York +1.30 (Risking 2 units).


NEW JERSEY -½ +1.07 over Boston

Against Montreal not once but twice, in its two most important games after the break, the Bruins lost them both. They also lost to the Maple Leafs twice after the break and whatever swagger this Bruin team carried with them last season they have lost this one. The B’s will now play its sixth consecutive game on the road and one has to question both their state of mind and their heart. Both are fragile, especially after that loss on Saturday night. At least when they went on that 11 game losing streak they were running into some bad luck, whereas now, inferior talent is simply outplaying them. The Devils have won its last two at home by scores of 6-3 and 3-1. They played the Bruins twice this year and beat them twice by the exact same 2-1 score. However, both those games were way back in October and November and now the Bruins are a lot worse off while the Devils are a lot more offensively loaded. The Bruins are hanging onto that eighth and final playoff spot for dear life ad things surely do not get any easier here. Play: New Jersey -½ +1.07 (Risking 2 units).

 

[ugk]

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME
100*New York +3- over 76ers